On February 18, 2025, Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces (RSF), a powerful paramilitary group, along with its allies, signed a historic agreement aimed at establishing a framework for a parallel government. This development marks a significant shift in Sudan’s political landscape and raises questions about the future of governance in the country.
The RSF, originally formed to combat insurgencies in Darfur, has gained significant political and military influence since its inception. Led by General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, commonly known as Hemedti, the RSF’s rise has been accompanied by allegations of human rights abuses, making its role in Sudan’s governance particularly contentious.
The deal signed on February 18 outlines a blueprint for a dual governance structure that explicitly seeks to operate alongside the existing government, complicating the transition towards democracy following the ousting of long-time dictator Omar al-Bashir in 2019. The RSF has positioned itself as a formidable power broker, capitalizing on the security vacuum and political instability that has plagued Sudan.
Sources indicate that this agreement was facilitated by regional actors keen on influencing Sudan’s trajectory. While the RSF touts its intentions to enhance stability, critics argue that this move signals an attempt to solidify control over the volatile political climate, sidelining democratic forces in the process. Human rights organizations have raised alarms that such a structure could further entrench militarization in Sudan’s governance, undermining the hopes for a civilian-led democracy.
The international community has responded with caution. Diplomats from major powers are closely monitoring the situation, having previously advocated for a rejuvenated civilian government in Sudan. The United Nations and various human rights groups have called for accountability and emphasized the need for any governance framework to respect human rights and the rule of law.
This agreement could either stabilize Sudan or plunge it deeper into turmoil, depending on its implementation and the responses from both domestic and international stakeholders. As the world watches closely, the question remains: will the RSF’s new governance model lead to sustainable peace and democracy, or will it further exacerbate the cycle of conflict and instability that has defined Sudan’s recent history?
In the coming months, Sudan’s path will continue to unfold, with profound implications for its people and the broader region.
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